Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?

Q: Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?

Prediction markets currently price this at 80%. A YES share costs 80.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 25.0% over 1.3y.

Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner$10k liquidity$12k volumecloses 1.3y

MexicoPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionGlobal Elections

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 80.0¢
Implied chance: 80.0%
Return if right: 25.0%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 125.0 shares at 80.0¢ each.

YES wins: $125.00 back, a profit of $25.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.79 of that profit. Without it you would make $25.79.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 21.0¢
Implied chance: 21.0%
Return if right: 376.2%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 476.2 shares at 21.0¢ each.

NO wins: $476.19 back, a profit of $376.19. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $11.61 of that profit. Without it you would make $387.80.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 24, 08:33 PM8 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

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What to Know About the Cuban Mafia in Quintana RooThe New York Times · 2mo ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Govern…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.