Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 43.7¢
- Implied chance
- 43.7%
- Return if right
- 128.8%
- Spread cost
- 1%
If you put in $100
You get 228.8 shares at 43.7¢ each.
YES wins: $228.83 back, a profit of $128.83. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $129.89.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 56.7¢
- Implied chance
- 56.7%
- Return if right
- 76.4%
- Spread cost
- 1%
If you put in $100
You get 176.4 shares at 56.7¢ each.
NO wins: $176.37 back, a profit of $76.37. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.62 of that profit. Without it you would make $76.99.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 07:13 PM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Vitalik Buterin puts privacy and quantum resistance front and center in Ethereum’s latest roadmapThe Block · 3h ago
- Bitmine Buys Another 7,391 Ethereum And Increases Staked PositionYahoo Finance · 4h ago
- Tom Lee's Bitmine Buys $14M in Ethereum as Cash Falls to $104MDecrypt · 5h ago
- Tom Lee's Bitmine Buys $14M in Ethereum as Cash Falls to $104MYahoo Finance · 5h ago
- Bitmine adds 7,391 ether in a week, bringing total Ethereum holdings to 5.81 million ETHThe Block · 5h ago
- Ethereum and Solana Reassess Inflation Schedules as Security Costs Raise Supply ConcernsYahoo Finance · 6h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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