Will Esther Gutiérrez win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?

Q: Will Esther Gutiérrez win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?

Prediction markets currently price this at 12%. A YES share costs 12.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 733.3% over 9.9mo.

Colima Governor Election Winner$319 liquidity$110 volumecloses 9.9mo

MexicoPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionGlobal Elections

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 12.0¢
Implied chance: 12.0%
Return if right: 733.3%
Spread cost: 41%

If you put in $100

You get 833.3 shares at 12.0¢ each.

YES wins: $833.33 back, a profit of $733.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $500.00 of that profit. Without it you would make $1233.33.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 97.0¢
Implied chance: 97.0%
Return if right: 3.1%
Spread cost: 62%

If you put in $100

You get 103.1 shares at 97.0¢ each.

NO wins: $103.09 back, a profit of $3.09. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.02 of that profit. Without it you would make $8.11.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 10:10 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Esther Gutiérrez win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.