Will Esteban "Steve" Guerra win the 2026 Cameron County Judge election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 93.0¢
- Implied chance
- 93.0%
- Return if right
- 7.5%
- Spread cost
- 13%
If you put in $100
You get 107.5 shares at 93.0¢ each.
YES wins: $107.53 back, a profit of $7.53. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.17 of that profit. Without it you would make $8.70.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 9.0¢
- Implied chance
- 9.0%
- Return if right
- 1011.1%
- Spread cost
- 12%
If you put in $100
You get 1111.1 shares at 9.0¢ each.
NO wins: $1111.11 back, a profit of $1011.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $138.89 of that profit. Without it you would make $1150.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
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How this market resolves
The 2026 Cameron County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Cameron County, TX. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.