Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 65.0¢
- Implied chance
- 65.0%
- Return if right
- 53.8%
- Spread cost
- 29%
If you put in $100
You get 153.8 shares at 65.0¢ each.
YES wins: $153.85 back, a profit of $53.85. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $21.59 of that profit. Without it you would make $75.44.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 51.0¢
- Implied chance
- 51.0%
- Return if right
- 96.1%
- Spread cost
- 28%
If you put in $100
You get 196.1 shares at 51.0¢ each.
NO wins: $196.08 back, a profit of $96.08. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $36.48 of that profit. Without it you would make $132.56.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 09:11 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted3 further outcomes not shown
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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Peo…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is ranked in the Top 5 of Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
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