Will Emmanuel Friday Ben win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.8¢
- Implied chance
- 0.8%
- Return if right
- 12400.0%
- Spread cost
- 38%
If you put in $100
You get 12500.0 shares at 0.8¢ each.
YES wins: $12500.00 back, a profit of $12400.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $7500.00 of that profit. Without it you would make $19900.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.8¢
- Implied chance
- 99.8%
- Return if right
- 0.2%
- Spread cost
- 60%
If you put in $100
You get 100.2 shares at 99.8¢ each.
NO wins: $100.20 back, a profit of $0.20. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.30 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.50.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Emmanuel Friday Ben0.5%
- Eno Umo Bassey70.5%
- John James Akpanudoedehe18.9%
- Coffie Emeni Samuel3.6%
- Jeremiah Akpan3.0%
Latest: Oct 7, 12:50 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Emmanuel Friday Ben win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubern…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Akwa Ibom State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Other outcomes in Akwa Ibom, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
- Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?
- Will John James Akpanudoedehe win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?
- Will Michael Bush win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?
- Will Jeremiah Akpan win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?
- Will Coffie Emeni Samuel win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?