Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on August 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 33.0¢
- Implied chance
- 33.0%
- Return if right
- 203.0%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 303.0 shares at 33.0¢ each.
YES wins: $303.03 back, a profit of $203.03. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $14.43 of that profit. Without it you would make $217.46.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 70.0¢
- Implied chance
- 70.0%
- Return if right
- 42.9%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 142.9 shares at 70.0¢ each.
NO wins: $142.86 back, a profit of $42.86. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.13 of that profit. Without it you would make $45.99.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 10:21 PM1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- SpaceX Stock Has Plunged 34%. Elon Musk's "Secret Master Plan" Points to What Could Come Next.Yahoo Finance · 6h ago
- Elon Musk Says This Is One of the Biggest Challenges for Public CompaniesYahoo Finance · 10h ago
- Elon Musk’s ambitious AI plans for SpaceX should be taken seriously, thanks to Microsoft, these analysts sayMarketWatch · 13h ago
- Kevin O'Leary Sat Out SpaceX's IPO— Now He's Plotting His Entry as Elon Musk's Empire Takes Shape: 'As the Stock Settles... I'll Be Watching Closely...'Yahoo Finance · 1d ago
- Elon Musk's Boring Company Is Raising Money at a $20 Billion Valuation. Here's How His Empire Outside Tesla Is Growing.Yahoo Finance · 1d ago
- SpaceX Has Reached the Moon, Just Not How Elon Musk Might Have Planned ItYahoo Finance · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on Aug…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on August 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Source: https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/
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