Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on August 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 20.1¢
- Implied chance
- 20.1%
- Return if right
- 397.5%
- Spread cost
- 45%
If you put in $100
You get 497.5 shares at 20.1¢ each.
YES wins: $497.51 back, a profit of $397.51. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $328.93 of that profit. Without it you would make $726.45.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 95.9¢
- Implied chance
- 95.9%
- Return if right
- 4.3%
- Spread cost
- 69%
If you put in $100
You get 104.3 shares at 95.9¢ each.
NO wins: $104.28 back, a profit of $4.28. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $9.49 of that profit. Without it you would make $13.77.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 08:33 PM1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- SpaceX Stock Has Plunged 34%. Elon Musk's "Secret Master Plan" Points to What Could Come Next.Yahoo Finance · 4h ago
- Elon Musk Says This Is One of the Biggest Challenges for Public CompaniesYahoo Finance · 8h ago
- Elon Musk’s ambitious AI plans for SpaceX should be taken seriously, thanks to Microsoft, these analysts sayMarketWatch · 11h ago
- Kevin O'Leary Sat Out SpaceX's IPO— Now He's Plotting His Entry as Elon Musk's Empire Takes Shape: 'As the Stock Settles... I'll Be Watching Closely...'Yahoo Finance · 1d ago
- Elon Musk's SpaceX Just Delivered Its First Earnings Report as a Public Company. Here's the 1 Number That Matters Most.Yahoo Finance · 1d ago
- Elon Musk Just Announced Major News for Nvidia ShareholdersYahoo Finance · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on A…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on August 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Source: https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/
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