Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.3¢
- Implied chance
- 1.3%
- Return if right
- 7592.3%
- Spread cost
- 16%
If you put in $100
You get 7692.3 shares at 1.3¢ each.
YES wins: $7692.31 back, a profit of $7592.31. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1398.60 of that profit. Without it you would make $8990.91.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.1¢
- Implied chance
- 99.1%
- Return if right
- 0.9%
- Spread cost
- 18%
If you put in $100
You get 100.9 shares at 99.1¢ each.
NO wins: $100.91 back, a profit of $0.91. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.20 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.11.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Beshear-Moore ticket? Democratic presidential hopefuls are pairing upThe Hill · 22h ago
- A Corruption Scandal Is Reshaping Brazil’s Presidential ElectionThe New York Times · 23h ago
- Trump to greet Xi at Joint Base Andrews, a presidential move not seen since 1962CBS News · 1d ago
- Is Elon Musk Paramount’s Next Big Investor?The Hollywood Reporter · 2d ago
- David Ellison Mulls Tapping Elon Musk for Paramount Investment While Closing in on Warner Bros. Takeover: ReportVariety · 2d ago
- Elon Musk Is Teasing a Tesla-SpaceX Merger Again. Terafab Shows Why AI Could Be the LogicYahoo Finance · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Elon Musk will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Elon Musk (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.