Will El Salvador win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 4.7¢
- Implied chance
- 4.7%
- Return if right
- 2027.7%
- Spread cost
- 41%
If you put in $100
You get 2127.7 shares at 4.7¢ each.
YES wins: $2127.66 back, a profit of $2027.66. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1381.11 of that profit. Without it you would make $3408.77.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.0¢
- Implied chance
- 99.0%
- Return if right
- 1.0%
- Spread cost
- 66%
If you put in $100
You get 101.0 shares at 99.0¢ each.
NO wins: $101.01 back, a profit of $1.01. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.92 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.93.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 05:50 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- El Salvador court hands down first life sentence for femicideDeutsche Welle · 9d ago
- El Salvador y FMI reactivan programa de US$1.400 millonesBloomberg · 14d ago
- IMF Ends Long Silence on El Salvador Program, Lifting BondsBloomberg · 14d ago
- El Salvador Isn’t Buying Bitcoin With Public Money, Says IMFBitcoin Magazine · 19d ago
- IMF Now Says Donations Funded El Salvador's Bitcoin GrowthDecrypt · 20d ago
- El Salvador has not used public funds to accumulate bitcoin since June 2025, IMF saysThe Block · 20d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will El Salvador win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League per the rules of CONCACAF (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League is cancelled, postponed after April 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from CONCACAF; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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