Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by August 31, 2026?

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by...?$10k liquidity$5k volumecloses 21d
PoliticsIsraelNaftali BennettTogetherYair LapidYashar
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BUY YES

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Cost
3.2¢
Implied chance
3.2%
Return if right
3025.0%
Spread cost
24%

If you put in $100

You get 3125.0 shares at 3.2¢ each.

YES wins: $3125.00 back, a profit of $3025.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $956.63 of that profit. Without it you would make $3981.63.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
98.3¢
Implied chance
98.3%
Return if right
1.7%
Spread cost
31%

If you put in $100

You get 101.7 shares at 98.3¢ each.

NO wins: $101.73 back, a profit of $1.73. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.78 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.51.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%2%Aug 3Aug 10

Latest: Aug 10, 04:15 PM

Latest news

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No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by August 31, ”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1) The Yashar party ("Yashar! With Eisenkot") or the Together Party announce that the Yashar party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party. 2) Gadi Eisenkot or the Together party announce that Gadi Eisenkot will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count. If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance. If the Yashar party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Yashar party for purposes of this market, provided Gadi Eisenkot is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Yashar party, the Together party, Gadi Eisenkot, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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