Will Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.9¢
- Implied chance
- 1.9%
- Return if right
- 5163.2%
- Spread cost
- 45%
If you put in $100
You get 5263.2 shares at 1.9¢ each.
YES wins: $5263.16 back, a profit of $5163.16. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4260.65 of that profit. Without it you would make $9423.81.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.8¢
- Implied chance
- 99.8%
- Return if right
- 0.2%
- Spread cost
- 81%
If you put in $100
You get 100.2 shares at 99.8¢ each.
NO wins: $100.20 back, a profit of $0.20. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.86 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.06.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro1.1%
- Axel Kicillof16.0%
- Facundo Manes3.5%
- Victoria Villarruel2.2%
- Patricia Bullrich24.3%
- Esteban Bullrich2.6%
Latest: Oct 5, 05:10 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Argentina’s ‘Golden Passport’ Program Offers Citizenship in Exchange for Foreign CashThe New York Times · 2d ago
- Argentina launches cash-for-citizenship schemeDeutsche Welle · 3d ago
- YPF Investors Ask High Court to Review Argentina Court WinBloomberg · 4d ago
- El repunte bursátil de Argentina se limita a las empresas petrolerasBloomberg · 5d ago
- Argentina shuns meat as purchasing plummets under MileiFrance 24 · 5d ago
- Argentina’s Milei threatens legal action over Falklands oil projectAl Jazeera · 6d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro win the most votes in t…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Argentine government, specifically the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
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