Will drop dead (Olivia Rodrigo) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Q: Will drop dead (Olivia Rodrigo) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Prediction markets currently price this at 3%. A YES share costs 3.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 3233.3% over 8.7mo.

Grammys 2027: Song of the Year Winner$2k liquidity$7k volumecloses 8.7mo

MusicAwardsCultureGrammys

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 3.0¢
Implied chance: 3.0%
Return if right: 3233.3%
Spread cost: 41%

If you put in $100

You get 3333.3 shares at 3.0¢ each.

YES wins: $3333.33 back, a profit of $3233.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2222.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $5455.56.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 99.4¢
Implied chance: 99.4%
Return if right: 0.6%
Spread cost: 67%

If you put in $100

You get 100.6 shares at 99.4¢ each.

NO wins: $100.60 back, a profit of $0.60. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.23 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.83.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Oct 8, 02:40 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted3 further outcomes not shown

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How this market resolves

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If a song is not officially nominated for Song of the Year when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.

Source: https://www.grammy.com/