Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.0¢
- Implied chance
- 2.0%
- Return if right
- 4900.0%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 5000.0 shares at 2.0¢ each.
YES wins: $5000.00 back, a profit of $4900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $128.21 of that profit. Without it you would make $5028.21.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.1¢
- Implied chance
- 98.1%
- Return if right
- 1.9%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 101.9 shares at 98.1¢ each.
NO wins: $101.94 back, a profit of $1.94. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.99.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 11, 08:05 AM9 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Donald Trump says replacing Gianni Infantino would be a ‘terrible mistake’Al Jazeera · 54m ago
- Bryson DeChambeau addresses Donald Trump meeting with Saudi PIF head at LIV Golf event: having 'conversations'Fox News · 13h ago
- Israel rejects Donald Trump’s Gaza Board of Peace planAl Jazeera · 2d ago
- President Donald Trump Expected the Iran War to Drive the Stock Market "Down 20% to 25%" -- His Prophecy May Still Come TrueYahoo Finance · 3d ago
- Donald Trump renews effort to fire Federal Reserve governor Lisa CookAl Jazeera · 3d ago
- Don Lemon Wants Criminal Charges Against Him Related to Minnesota ICE Protest Dropped, Citing Donald Trump’s Chronic ‘Animus’ Toward JournalistVariety · 4d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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