Will Don Woodstock win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?

Q: Will Don Woodstock win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?

Prediction markets currently price this at 10%. A YES share costs 10.1¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 890.1% over 9.2mo.

Winnipeg Mayoral Election$2k liquidity$5k volumecloses 9.2mo

CanadaPoliticsElectionsGlobal ElectionsInternational Election Props

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 10.1¢
Implied chance: 10.1%
Return if right: 890.1%
Spread cost: 44%

If you put in $100

You get 990.1 shares at 10.1¢ each.

YES wins: $990.10 back, a profit of $890.10. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $704.82 of that profit. Without it you would make $1594.92.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 98.3¢
Implied chance: 98.3%
Return if right: 1.7%
Spread cost: 72%

If you put in $100

You get 101.7 shares at 98.3¢ each.

NO wins: $101.73 back, a profit of $1.73. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.54 of that profit. Without it you would make $6.27.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 24, 11:21 PM6 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Team USA hero Connor Hellebuyck confirms that he requested a trade from the Winnipeg JetsFox News · 28d ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Don Woodstock win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.