Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Q: Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Prediction markets currently price this at 1%. A YES share costs 1.2¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 8233.3% over 1.1mo.

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)$26k liquidity$57k volumecloses 1.1mo

SportsWTATennis

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 1.2¢
Implied chance: 1.2%
Return if right: 8233.3%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 8333.3 shares at 1.2¢ each.

YES wins: $8333.33 back, a profit of $8233.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $757.58 of that profit. Without it you would make $8990.91.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 99.0¢
Implied chance: 99.0%
Return if right: 1.0%
Spread cost: 9%

If you put in $100

You get 101.0 shares at 99.0¢ each.

NO wins: $101.01 back, a profit of $1.01. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.10 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.11.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 07:34 PM7 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s US Open?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.