Will Democrats win white women in the midterms?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 82.0¢
- Implied chance
- 82.0%
- Return if right
- 22.0%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 122.0 shares at 82.0¢ each.
YES wins: $121.95 back, a profit of $21.95. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.75 of that profit. Without it you would make $22.70.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 19.0¢
- Implied chance
- 19.0%
- Return if right
- 426.3%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 526.3 shares at 19.0¢ each.
NO wins: $526.32 back, a profit of $426.32. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $14.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $440.54.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Jeffries says House Democrats reaching to flip Trump districtsABC News · 6h ago
- Democratic rep: Administration 'has failed to present a strategy' in Iran warThe Hill · 12h ago
- Majority Leader Thune warns Chuck Schumer 'lives in fear' of socialists taking over Democratic PartyFox News · 13h ago
- Emanuel urges Democrats to prioritize ethics reform over potential third Trump impeachmentThe Hill · 14h ago
- CBS News Battleground Tracker poll finds Democrats maintain House advantageCBS News · 15h ago
- Latino voters swing back to Democrats ahead of midterm elections: pollFox News · 16h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Democrats win white women in the midterms?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".