Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 65.0¢
- Implied chance
- 65.0%
- Return if right
- 53.8%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 153.8 shares at 65.0¢ each.
YES wins: $153.85 back, a profit of $53.85. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.19 of that profit. Without it you would make $55.04.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 36.0¢
- Implied chance
- 36.0%
- Return if right
- 177.8%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 277.8 shares at 36.0¢ each.
NO wins: $277.78 back, a profit of $177.78. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $181.69.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 11, 11:26 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Carville warns Democrats may need to block far-left candidates from joining caucus, moderate group disagreesFox News · 49m ago
- Montana Democrat refuses to drop out, likely improving GOP's Senate chancesThe Hill · 50m ago
- Democrats demand briefing on Trump’s secret flight from TurkeyThe Washington Post · 1h ago
- The House Democratic money machine is coming for GOP Rep. Max MillerAxios · 1h ago
- Angie Craig Has Cash Edge Over Peggy Flanagan in Minnesota’s Democratic Senate PrimaryThe New York Times · 2h ago
- Democrats Accuse Trump Administration of Stonewalling Major Transit ProjectsThe New York Times · 2h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.