Will Democrats sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 22.0¢
- Implied chance
- 22.0%
- Return if right
- 354.5%
- Spread cost
- 11%
If you put in $100
You get 454.5 shares at 22.0¢ each.
YES wins: $454.55 back, a profit of $354.55. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $45.45 of that profit. Without it you would make $400.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 82.0¢
- Implied chance
- 82.0%
- Return if right
- 22.0%
- Spread cost
- 12%
If you put in $100
You get 122.0 shares at 82.0¢ each.
NO wins: $121.95 back, a profit of $21.95. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $25.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Oct 5, 02:30 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- PAC adviser breaks down Democrats' spending in Texas, Kansas, Iowa, and more ahead of midtermsCBS News · 54m ago
- Kansas Democratic Senate nominee says 'please, no' to Harris campaigning for himThe Hill · 3d ago
- Republican-turned-Democrat aims to flip Kansas Senate seat blueCBS News · 5d ago
- Marshall GOP primary challenger backs Democrat in Kansas Senate raceThe Hill · 11d ago
- Kansas Democrat begs Kamala Harris not to campaign with him, ‘Please do not come to my state’Fox News · 12d ago
- Cook Political Report shifts Kansas, South Carolina Senate races toward DemocratsThe Hill · 12d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Democrats sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor election…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.