Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?

Q: Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?

Prediction markets currently price this at 68%. A YES share costs 68.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 47.1% over 1.5mo.

Carly Rae Jepsen 'Day and Night' First Week Album Sales?$5k liquidity$9k volumecloses 1.5mo

songMusicalbumCulturespotifybillboard

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 68.0¢
Implied chance: 68.0%
Return if right: 47.1%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 147.1 shares at 68.0¢ each.

YES wins: $147.06 back, a profit of $47.06. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.19 of that profit. Without it you would make $49.25.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 34.0¢
Implied chance: 34.0%
Return if right: 194.1%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 294.1 shares at 34.0¢ each.

NO wins: $294.12 back, a profit of $194.12. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $203.03.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 11, 02:54 AM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

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How this market resolves

Carly Rae Jepsen's new album 'Day and Night' is expected to release September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Carly Rae Jepsen's album 'Day and Night', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Day and Night' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.