Will David Lavoie win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 43.0¢
- Implied chance
- 43.0%
- Return if right
- 132.6%
- Spread cost
- 53%
If you put in $100
You get 232.6 shares at 43.0¢ each.
YES wins: $232.56 back, a profit of $132.56. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $152.06 of that profit. Without it you would make $284.62.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 91.0¢
- Implied chance
- 91.0%
- Return if right
- 9.9%
- Spread cost
- 72%
If you put in $100
You get 109.9 shares at 91.0¢ each.
NO wins: $109.89 back, a profit of $9.89. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $25.25 of that profit. Without it you would make $35.14.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- David Lavoie26.0%
- Pierre-Luc Brillant27.0%
- Gisèle Pouhe Njall18.0%
- Nour Aliyah Attié23.0%
- Mildred Mathieu23.5%
Latest: Sep 1, 09:23 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will David Lavoie win the next Rosemont Quebec National Asse…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Source: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/
Other outcomes in Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
- Will Gisèle Pouhe Njall win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election?
- Will Mildred Mathieu win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election?
- Will Nour Aliyah Attié win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election?
- Will Pierre-Luc Brillant win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election?