Will Darline Graham win at least 45% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 97.0¢
- Implied chance
- 97.0%
- Return if right
- 3.1%
- Spread cost
- 59%
If you put in $100
You get 103.1 shares at 97.0¢ each.
YES wins: $103.09 back, a profit of $3.09. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.43 of that profit. Without it you would make $7.53.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 11.0¢
- Implied chance
- 11.0%
- Return if right
- 809.1%
- Spread cost
- 39%
If you put in $100
You get 909.1 shares at 11.0¢ each.
NO wins: $909.09 back, a profit of $809.09. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $519.48 of that profit. Without it you would make $1328.57.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 18, 10:25 PM3 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Darline Graham won't say whether Thune should remain GOP leaderThe Hill · 5h ago
- Ralph Norman suggests special GOP primary runoff rival Darline Graham is the establishment's chosen candidateFox News · 5h ago
- Trump to Travel to Myrtle Beach to Rally for Darline GrahamThe New York Times · 1d ago
- House Republican suggests Sen Darline Graham is an 'ally' for the 'swamp'Fox News · 1d ago
- Russell Fry endorses ex-rival Darline Graham after failing to advance to special GOP US Senate primary runoffFox News · 2d ago
- Fry throws support behind Darline Graham's Senate bid after primary lossThe Hill · 4d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Darline Graham win at least 45% of votes in the SC Repu…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The runoff election for the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary in the 2026 US Senate election is scheduled for August 25, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Darline Graham wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Other outcomes in Darline Graham vote share in 2026 South Carolina Special Republican Senate Primary Runoff?
- Will Darline Graham win at least 75% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff?
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- Will Darline Graham win at least 50% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff?
- Will Darline Graham win at least 85% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff?