Will Cruz Pérez Cuéllar win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?

Q: Will Cruz Pérez Cuéllar win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?

Prediction markets currently price this at 55%. A YES share costs 55.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 81.8% over 1.3y.

Chihuahua Governor Election Winner$259 liquidity$3k volumecloses 1.3y

MexicoPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionGlobal Elections

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 55.0¢
Implied chance: 55.0%
Return if right: 81.8%
Spread cost: 32%

If you put in $100

You get 181.8 shares at 55.0¢ each.

YES wins: $181.82 back, a profit of $81.82. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $37.96 of that profit. Without it you would make $119.78.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 64.0¢
Implied chance: 64.0%
Return if right: 56.3%
Spread cost: 33%

If you put in $100

You get 156.3 shares at 64.0¢ each.

NO wins: $156.25 back, a profit of $56.25. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $27.24 of that profit. Without it you would make $83.49.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Cruz Pérez Cuéllar24.0%

Latest: Sep 21, 10:56 AM9 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

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How this market resolves

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.