Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?

Q: Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?

Prediction markets currently price this at 20%. A YES share costs 20.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 400.0% over 4.1mo.

Liga MX: 2026 Apertura Champion$9k liquidity$12k volumecloses 4.1mo

SoccerSportsLiga MXLiga MX Apertura

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 20.0¢
Implied chance: 20.0%
Return if right: 400.0%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 500.0 shares at 20.0¢ each.

YES wins: $500.00 back, a profit of $400.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $12.82 of that profit. Without it you would make $412.82.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 81.0¢
Implied chance: 81.0%
Return if right: 23.5%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 123.5 shares at 81.0¢ each.

NO wins: $123.46 back, a profit of $23.46. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.77 of that profit. Without it you would make $24.22.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 06:25 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 Apertura Final in Liga MX. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Apertura in Liga MX per the rules of the Liga MX (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Liga MX season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Liga MX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.