Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

• Count Binface gets almost 10,000 votes in Clacton by-electionBBC Politics · 1mo ago
• Al Jazeera speaks to Count Binface as Farage claims Clacton victoryAl Jazeera · 1mo ago
• Polls open in Clacton, where Farage spent more than £10,000 in byelection against Count Binface – as it happenedThe Guardian · 1mo ago
• How Nigel Farage Ended Up Running Against Count Binface in ClactonThe New York Times · 1mo ago
• UK's Count Binface, the 'joke' candidate challenging far-right Farage in Clacton by-electionFrance 24 · 1mo ago

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How this market resolves

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).