Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 42.0¢
- Implied chance
- 42.0%
- Return if right
- 138.1%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 238.1 shares at 42.0¢ each.
YES wins: $238.10 back, a profit of $138.10. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.81 of that profit. Without it you would make $143.90.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 60.0¢
- Implied chance
- 60.0%
- Return if right
- 66.7%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 166.7 shares at 60.0¢ each.
NO wins: $166.67 back, a profit of $66.67. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.82 of that profit. Without it you would make $69.49.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
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How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).