Will Congress override any veto in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 8.0¢
- Implied chance
- 8.0%
- Return if right
- 1150.0%
- Spread cost
- 11%
If you put in $100
You get 1250.0 shares at 8.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1250.00 back, a profit of $1150.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $148.60 of that profit. Without it you would make $1298.60.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 93.7¢
- Implied chance
- 93.7%
- Return if right
- 6.7%
- Spread cost
- 13%
If you put in $100
You get 106.7 shares at 93.7¢ each.
NO wins: $106.72 back, a profit of $6.72. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.98 of that profit. Without it you would make $7.70.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- 4 loose ends as Congress enters August recessThe Hill · 7h ago
- Eleventh-hour primary upsets muddy the race for control of CongressThe Washington Post · 9h ago
- Ocasio-Cortez declines to endorse Hong, says she’s focused on ‘winning back’ CongressThe Hill · 1d ago
- A Democrat Sounds the Alarm on Christian Nationalism in CongressThe New York Times · 1d ago
- A Democrat Sounds the Alarm on Christian Nationalism in CongressThe New York Times · 1d ago
- Congress debates childhood by budget lines. Children don't live that way.The Hill · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Congress override any veto in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to Yes if the US Congress overrides a presidential veto by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Passage of a veto override by only one Chamber of Congress shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.