Will Club Brugge reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Q: Will Club Brugge reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Prediction markets currently price this at 6%. A YES share costs 5.7¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 1654.4% over 6.8mo.

UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 semis$896 liquidity$21 volumecloses 6.8mo

UCLSoccerSportsChampions League

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 5.7¢
Implied chance: 5.7%
Return if right: 1654.4%
Spread cost: 38%

If you put in $100

You get 1754.4 shares at 5.7¢ each.

YES wins: $1754.39 back, a profit of $1654.39. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1023.39 of that profit. Without it you would make $2677.78.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 98.5¢
Implied chance: 98.5%
Return if right: 1.5%
Spread cost: 59%

If you put in $100

You get 101.5 shares at 98.5¢ each.

NO wins: $101.52 back, a profit of $1.52. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.21 of that profit. Without it you would make $3.73.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 24, 03:30 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Club Brugge reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifi…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.