Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?

Q: Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?

Prediction markets currently price this at 99%. A YES share costs 98.7¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 1.3% over 29d.

New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner$9k liquidity$15k volumecloses 29d

primary electionsGovernor PrimaryDemocratic PrimaryNew Hampshire PrimarySeptember 8 PrimariesUS Election

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 98.7¢
Implied chance: 98.7%
Return if right: 1.3%
Spread cost: 50%

If you put in $100

You get 101.3 shares at 98.7¢ each.

YES wins: $101.32 back, a profit of $1.32. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.30 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.62.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 3.8¢
Implied chance: 3.8%
Return if right: 2531.6%
Spread cost: 34%

If you put in $100

You get 2631.6 shares at 3.8¢ each.

NO wins: $2631.58 back, a profit of $2531.58. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1289.99 of that profit. Without it you would make $3821.57.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Cinde Warmington97.7%

Latest: Aug 10, 07:27 PM4 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Hampshire and England bowler Turner retires aged 25BBC Sport · 4d ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor De…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.