Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 63.0¢
- Implied chance
- 63.0%
- Return if right
- 58.7%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 158.7 shares at 63.0¢ each.
YES wins: $158.73 back, a profit of $58.73. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.56 of that profit. Without it you would make $61.29.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 39.0¢
- Implied chance
- 39.0%
- Return if right
- 156.4%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 256.4 shares at 39.0¢ each.
NO wins: $256.41 back, a profit of $156.41. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6.75 of that profit. Without it you would make $163.16.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Christopher Nolan62.0%
- Denis Villeneuve15.0%
- Martin McDonagh6.0%
- Alejandro G. Iñárritu5.5%
- Phil Lord or Christopher Miller5.6%
Latest: Oct 8, 01:48 AM5 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Donna Langley on Landing Hollywood’s Heaviest Hitters, from Taylor Sheridan to Christopher NolanThe Hollywood Reporter · 6d ago
- Casey Affleck Recalls ‘Traumatic’ Oscars Night, Praises Christopher Nolan, and Says ‘Company’ Isn’t Finished Yet: ‘There Are Things I Want to Change’Variety · 10d ago
- Anne Hathaway to Campaign in Supporting Actress for Christopher Nolan’s ‘The Odyssey’ (EXCLUSIVE)Variety · 16d ago
- From Oprah Winfrey and Christopher Nolan to Kim Kardashian and Robert De Niro: Inside the Lucas Museum of Narrative Art Opening GalaVariety · 17d ago
- ‘Best of the Best’ Director Lena Khan on Making a Bollywood Fusion Dance Movie for Netflix, Working With Hasan Minhaj and Telling Maitreyi Ramakrishnan to Bring ‘Channing Tatum Energy’Variety · 20d ago
- Vatican to Submit a Film for Oscar Consideration, Making Academy Awards History (EXCLUSIVE)Variety · 22d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director. If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: https://www.oscars.org/
Other outcomes in Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner
- Will Denis Villeneuve win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will Alejandro G. Iñárritu win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will Martin McDonagh win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will Lance Oppenheim win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will Steven Spielberg win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will Jordan Firstman win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will Olivia Wilde win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will Bassam Tariq win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will Phil Lord or Christopher Miller win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will David O. Russell win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will Aaron Sorkin win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will Jesse Eisenberg win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will Peter Farrelly win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?