Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 98.2¢
- Implied chance
- 98.2%
- Return if right
- 1.8%
- Spread cost
- 39%
If you put in $100
You get 101.8 shares at 98.2¢ each.
YES wins: $101.83 back, a profit of $1.83. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.15 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.99.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 4.0¢
- Implied chance
- 4.0%
- Return if right
- 2400.0%
- Spread cost
- 28%
If you put in $100
You get 2500.0 shares at 4.0¢ each.
NO wins: $2500.00 back, a profit of $2400.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $948.28 of that profit. Without it you would make $3348.28.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 11, 05:21 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
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How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.