Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 80.0¢
- Implied chance
- 80.0%
- Return if right
- 25.0%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 125.0 shares at 80.0¢ each.
YES wins: $125.00 back, a profit of $25.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.58 of that profit. Without it you would make $26.58.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 22.0¢
- Implied chance
- 22.0%
- Return if right
- 354.5%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 454.5 shares at 22.0¢ each.
NO wins: $454.55 back, a profit of $354.55. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $21.65 of that profit. Without it you would make $376.19.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).