Will Carrie Coon – “The Gilded Age” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.8¢
- Implied chance
- 2.8%
- Return if right
- 3471.4%
- Spread cost
- 18%
If you put in $100
You get 3571.4 shares at 2.8¢ each.
YES wins: $3571.43 back, a profit of $3471.43. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $776.40 of that profit. Without it you would make $4247.83.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.2¢
- Implied chance
- 98.2%
- Return if right
- 1.8%
- Spread cost
- 22%
If you put in $100
You get 101.8 shares at 98.2¢ each.
NO wins: $101.83 back, a profit of $1.83. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.52 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.35.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Carrie Coon – “The Gilded Age”2.3%
- Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus”81.0%
- Keri Russell – “The Diplomat”12.0%
- Zendaya – “Euphoria”6.9%
Latest: Aug 25, 04:13 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Opendoor Is Repurchasing 5% of Its Outstanding Shares. Here's What That Means for the Company.Yahoo Finance · 4d ago
- Top economists warn of wealth inequality in U.S. surpassing Gilded AgeYahoo Finance · 6d ago
- Minnesota 'outstanding refugee' honoree accused in fraud scheme tied to sex trafficking: 'Can't make this up'Fox News · 7d ago
- 'Outstanding!' GB's Macinnes wins 200m butterfly gold with 'gutsy' swimBBC Sport · 8d ago
- Salli Richardson-Whitfield on Making Emmy History With ‘Task’ and ‘The Gilded Age’Variety · 12d ago
- The America ‘Gilded Age’ Creator Julian Fellowes Fell For Is the America He Puts on TVThe Hollywood Reporter · 12d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Carrie Coon – “The Gilded Age” win Emmys 2026: Outstand…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series
- Will Keri Russell – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?
- Will Zendaya – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?
- Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?
- Will Chase Infiniti – “The Testaments” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?