Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 48.0¢
- Implied chance
- 48.0%
- Return if right
- 108.3%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 208.3 shares at 48.0¢ each.
YES wins: $208.33 back, a profit of $108.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $11.45 of that profit. Without it you would make $119.78.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 57.0¢
- Implied chance
- 57.0%
- Return if right
- 75.4%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 175.4 shares at 57.0¢ each.
NO wins: $175.44 back, a profit of $75.44. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $83.49.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 03:26 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-elect…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Chicoutimi—Le Fjord is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).