Will Caleb McLaughlin be the live-action Miles Morales?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 9.5¢
- Implied chance
- 9.5%
- Return if right
- 952.6%
- Spread cost
- 46%
If you put in $100
You get 1052.6 shares at 9.5¢ each.
YES wins: $1052.63 back, a profit of $952.63. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $799.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $1751.85.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.7¢
- Implied chance
- 98.7%
- Return if right
- 1.3%
- Spread cost
- 77%
If you put in $100
You get 101.3 shares at 98.7¢ each.
NO wins: $101.32 back, a profit of $1.32. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.39 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.71.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Caleb McLaughlin5.1%
- No actor chosen by end of 202756.5%
- Alex R. Hibbert19.5%
- Dallas Dupree Young16.1%
- Miles Brown4.8%
- Myles Truitt5.0%
Latest: Oct 10, 12:24 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Caleb McLaughlin be the live-action Miles Morales?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will play Miles Morales in a live-action feature film by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Actors announced to play the character in animated films or TV series will not qualify. Only live-action feature film castings will qualify. If more than one actor is announced to portray Miles Morales in the same film, only the actor cast in the principal role of the character will qualify. Actors cast to portray a younger, older, alternate, or variant version of the character, and actors serving as body doubles, stunt doubles, or voice doubles, will not qualify. If no actor is announced as the live-action Miles Morales within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No actor chosen by end of 2027". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Sony Pictures, Marvel, their parent companies, or another authorized representative of the Spider-Man franchise. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.