Will Caitlin Clark win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?

Q: Will Caitlin Clark win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?

Prediction markets currently price this at 4%. A YES share costs 4.2¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 2281.0% over 1.5mo.

WNBA: 2026 MVP$8k liquidity$17k volumecloses 1.5mo

WNBABasketballSportsmvpRewards Automation 50 4.5 50 Deprec

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 4.2¢
Implied chance: 4.2%
Return if right: 2281.0%
Spread cost: 38%

If you put in $100

You get 2381.0 shares at 4.2¢ each.

YES wins: $2380.95 back, a profit of $2280.95. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1392.63 of that profit. Without it you would make $3673.58.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 98.9¢
Implied chance: 98.9%
Return if right: 1.1%
Spread cost: 59%

If you put in $100

You get 101.1 shares at 98.9¢ each.

NO wins: $101.11 back, a profit of $1.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.61 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.72.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Caitlin Clark2.7%

Latest: Aug 10, 09:11 PM9 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Caitlin Clark win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.