Will Bruce Walden win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Q: Will Bruce Walden win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Prediction markets currently price this at 0%. A YES share costs 0.2¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 49900.0% over 2.8mo.

Alaska Governor Election Winner $12k liquidity$9k volumecloses 2.8mo

Alaska MidtermGovernor midtermsRewards 50, 4.5, 20MidtermsElectionsPolitics

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 0.2¢
Implied chance: 0.2%
Return if right: 49900.0%
Spread cost: 25%

If you put in $100

You get 50000.0 shares at 0.2¢ each.

YES wins: $50000.00 back, a profit of $49900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $16666.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $66566.67.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 99.9¢
Implied chance: 99.9%
Return if right: 0.1%
Spread cost: 33%

If you put in $100

You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.

NO wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.15.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 04:47 PM6 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

GOP senator deals crushing blow to Trump's AG nominee after Alaska lobbying blitzFox News · 3d ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Bruce Walden win the 2026 Alaska governor election?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.