Will Brent Bien win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?

Q: Will Brent Bien win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?

Prediction markets currently price this at 5%. A YES share costs 5.2¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 1823.1% over 8d.

Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner$11k liquidity$8k volumecloses 8d

primary electionsGovernor PrimaryRepublican PrimaryWyoming PrimaryAugust 18 PrimariesUS Election

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 5.2¢
Implied chance: 5.2%
Return if right: 1823.1%
Spread cost: 37%

If you put in $100

You get 1923.1 shares at 5.2¢ each.

YES wins: $1923.08 back, a profit of $1823.08. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1062.00 of that profit. Without it you would make $2885.07.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 98.5¢
Implied chance: 98.5%
Return if right: 1.5%
Spread cost: 56%

If you put in $100

You get 101.5 shares at 98.5¢ each.

NO wins: $101.52 back, a profit of $1.52. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.94 of that profit. Without it you would make $3.47.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 04:13 PM7 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.