Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 77.0¢
- Implied chance
- 77.0%
- Return if right
- 29.9%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 129.9 shares at 77.0¢ each.
YES wins: $129.87 back, a profit of $29.87. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.46 of that profit. Without it you would make $33.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 27.0¢
- Implied chance
- 27.0%
- Return if right
- 270.4%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 370.4 shares at 27.0¢ each.
NO wins: $370.37 back, a profit of $270.37. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $29.63 of that profit. Without it you would make $300.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 03:38 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Samuel L. Jackson and LaTanya Richardson Jackson to Receive the Clarence & Jacqueline Avant Humanitarian Award at HollyRod Gala (EXCLUSIVE)Variety · 3d ago
- Ted Cruz battles 'The View' on Clarence Thomas and affirmative action, as host says 'Welcome to being Black'Fox News · 14d ago
- James Clyburn says supporting Clarence Thomas for supreme court ‘was mistake’The Guardian · 24d ago
- Jim Clyburn regrets supporting Clarence Thomas' SCOTUS appointment, calling it a 'mistake'Fox News · 24d ago
- Justice Thomas recalls why he wasn't friends with Alito in law school: 'Clarence, you were scary'Fox News · 28d ago
- Clarence Thomas scorches racial litmus tests policing thought: ‘Stay Black and die’Fox News · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Clarence as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Source: https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/