Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 33.8¢
- Implied chance
- 33.8%
- Return if right
- 195.9%
- Spread cost
- 42%
If you put in $100
You get 295.9 shares at 33.8¢ each.
YES wins: $295.86 back, a profit of $195.86. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $141.78 of that profit. Without it you would make $337.64.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 88.1¢
- Implied chance
- 88.1%
- Return if right
- 13.5%
- Spread cost
- 54%
If you put in $100
You get 113.5 shares at 88.1¢ each.
NO wins: $113.51 back, a profit of $13.51. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $16.11 of that profit. Without it you would make $29.62.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 12, 09:14 PM4 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Brazil orders Discord to suspend livestreams after teen’s deathAl Jazeera · 2h ago
- Discord ordered to suspend livestreams in BrazilBBC Business · 4h ago
- A Favorite Carry Trade Gets a Dose of Brazil Election JittersBloomberg · 8h ago
- Greetings from a surreal expanse of sand dunes dotted with freshwater lagoons in BrazilNPR · 8h ago
- Brazil's elections are the acid test for Trump's Latin America policyThe Hill · 9h ago
- Itaú joins Brazil tokenization pilot with OpenAssetsCointelegraph · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026. The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Other outcomes in Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
- Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?
- Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.6% and 0.8%?
- Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be at least 1.5%?
- Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than 0.0%?
- Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.9% and 1.1%?
- Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 1.2% and 1.4%?