Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be at least 1.5%?

• Brazil orders Discord to suspend livestreams after teen’s deathAl Jazeera · 2h ago
• Discord ordered to suspend livestreams in BrazilBBC Business · 4h ago
• A Favorite Carry Trade Gets a Dose of Brazil Election JittersBloomberg · 8h ago
• Greetings from a surreal expanse of sand dunes dotted with freshwater lagoons in BrazilNPR · 8h ago
• Brazil's elections are the acid test for Trump's Latin America policyThe Hill · 9h ago
• Itaú joins Brazil tokenization pilot with OpenAssetsCointelegraph · 1d ago

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026. The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html