Will Blue and White win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.9¢
- Implied chance
- 1.9%
- Return if right
- 5163.2%
- Spread cost
- 43%
If you put in $100
You get 5263.2 shares at 1.9¢ each.
YES wins: $5263.16 back, a profit of $5163.16. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3827.75 of that profit. Without it you would make $8990.91.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.7¢
- Implied chance
- 99.7%
- Return if right
- 0.3%
- Spread cost
- 73%
If you put in $100
You get 100.3 shares at 99.7¢ each.
NO wins: $100.30 back, a profit of $0.30. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.81 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.11.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Blue and White1.1%
- Together62.0%
- Shas5.4%
- United Torah Judaism3.0%
- Joint List7.5%
- The Reservists and the Economic Party1.1%
Latest: Oct 7, 11:59 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- For Israeli Actress Noa Cohen, October 7 Is Both Personal and ProfessionalThe Hollywood Reporter · 2h ago
- Israelis mourn 7 October attack victims three years after deadly Hamas raidBBC News · 4h ago
- 'Resilience' of Israelis as they mourn the loss of loved ones and 'the sense that we can be safe'France 24 · 6h ago
- Israelis demand accountability over 7 October failures three years after attacksBBC News · 8h ago
- Netanyahu criticized by opponents for handling of Oct. 7 attacks weeks before Israeli electionCBS News · 9h ago
- Scars from Oct. 7 fuel deep divisions over Netanyahu ahead of Israeli electionFrance 24 · 10h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Blue and White win the third-most seats in the 2026 Isr…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Israeli government, including the Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Other outcomes in Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place
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