Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Kolkata municipal election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 91.0¢
- Implied chance
- 91.0%
- Return if right
- 9.9%
- Spread cost
- 31%
If you put in $100
You get 109.9 shares at 91.0¢ each.
YES wins: $109.89 back, a profit of $9.89. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.40 of that profit. Without it you would make $14.29.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 16.0¢
- Implied chance
- 16.0%
- Return if right
- 525.0%
- Spread cost
- 25%
If you put in $100
You get 625.0 shares at 16.0¢ each.
NO wins: $625.00 back, a profit of $525.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $175.00 of that profit. Without it you would make $700.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)86.0%
- All India Trinamool Congress (AITC)9.6%
- Left Front (LF)15.8%
- Indian National Congress (INC)5.7%
Latest: Sep 24, 04:41 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
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How this market resolves
Municipal elections are to be scheduled to be held for the Kolkata Municipal Corporation, India, in December 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or listed alliance that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Kolkata municipal elections. The “Left Front” alliance will include all seats won by Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)), Communist Party of India (CPI), All India Forward Bloc (AIFB), Revolutionary Socialist Party (RSP), Communist Party of India (Marxist–Leninist) Liberation (CPI(ML)L), Revolutionary Communist Party of India (RCPI), Marxist Forward Bloc (MFB). Independent candidates will not be considered for resolution. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple listed parties or alliances for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the listed party or alliance that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed party or alliance whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or alliance in the Kolkata Municipal Corporation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Kolkata, West Bengal, and Indian governments, including the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in).
Other outcomes in Kolkata Municipal Election Winner
- Will the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) win the most seats in the next Kolkata municipal election?
- Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the next Kolkata municipal election?
- Will the Left Front (LF) win the most seats in the next Kolkata municipal election?
- Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the next Kolkata municipal election?