Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 21-27?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 95.0¢
- Implied chance
- 95.0%
- Return if right
- 5.3%
- Spread cost
- 18%
If you put in $100
You get 105.3 shares at 95.0¢ each.
YES wins: $105.26 back, a profit of $5.26. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.12 of that profit. Without it you would make $6.38.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 7.0¢
- Implied chance
- 7.0%
- Return if right
- 1328.6%
- Spread cost
- 15%
If you put in $100
You get 1428.6 shares at 7.0¢ each.
NO wins: $1428.57 back, a profit of $1328.57. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $238.10 of that profit. Without it you would make $1566.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 12:23 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Live updates: Bitcoin continues lower as bond yields take center stageCoinDesk · 1h ago
- Bitcoin slides to $83,300 as bond yields hit highest level since 2007CoinDesk · 2h ago
- Bitcoin falls below $84K as 10-year Treasury yield hits 19-year highCointelegraph · 2h ago
- Traders price in 4 Fed rate hikes by June 2027 as bitcoin slides below $83,000CoinDesk · 2h ago
- The data proves it: Bitcoin doesn't care about rising bond yields over long-termCoinDesk · 3h ago
- Bitcoin ETFs add $347M as BTC falls below $84K after topping $87KCointelegraph · 3h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 21-27?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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