Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on August 22?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.7¢
- Implied chance
- 0.7%
- Return if right
- 14185.7%
- Spread cost
- 36%
If you put in $100
You get 14285.7 shares at 0.7¢ each.
YES wins: $14285.71 back, a profit of $14185.71. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $7936.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $22122.22.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.8¢
- Implied chance
- 99.8%
- Return if right
- 0.2%
- Spread cost
- 56%
If you put in $100
You get 100.2 shares at 99.8¢ each.
NO wins: $100.20 back, a profit of $0.20. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.25 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.45.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 22, 08:47 AM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Zcash jumps 48% to over $800 as Grayscale spot ETF push adds to ‘next bitcoin’ buzzCoinDesk · 3h ago
- How a Treasury buyback tweak helped bitcoin surge 25% to nearly $80,000 in daysCoinDesk · 4h ago
- Missing New York grandmother found dead near Las Vegas airport after mysterious Bitcoin textsFox News · 5h ago
- Smart Money Helping Support Bitcoin Rebound, Says Pantera CapitalBitcoin Magazine · 11h ago
- Coldcard Adds New Security Measures After $130 Million Bitcoin ExploitDecrypt · 11h ago
- Bitget CEO sees Bitcoin near current levels at year-end, doubts US will buy BTCCointelegraph · 12h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on August 22?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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