Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 42.5¢
- Implied chance
- 42.5%
- Return if right
- 135.3%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 235.3 shares at 42.5¢ each.
YES wins: $235.29 back, a profit of $135.29. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6.54 of that profit. Without it you would make $141.84.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 59.8¢
- Implied chance
- 59.8%
- Return if right
- 67.2%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 167.2 shares at 59.8¢ each.
NO wins: $167.22 back, a profit of $67.22. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.28 of that profit. Without it you would make $70.50.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 19, 08:00 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted3 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Bitcoin Shortsellers Get Destroyed With $1.7B in Positions Liquidated Following BTC Price JumpBitcoin Magazine · 50m ago
- Bitcoin hits $69,000, ether jumps 10% as Treasury buybacks, SEC crypto proposal fuel market rallyThe Block · 55m ago
- Six-Bug Exploit Halts Maya Protocol After $1.4 Million in Bitcoin StolenDecrypt · 2h ago
- Family of woman missing in Las Vegas says they have received strange Bitcoin demandsNBC News · 2h ago
- Strategy Rockets 13%, Bitmine Immersion Technologies Rallies 13%, Coinbase Jumps 11% as Bitcoin Surges Past $68,000Yahoo Finance · 3h ago
- Bitcoin surges above $68,000, liquidating $1.4 billion shorts as Treasury buybacks boost risk appetiteCoinDesk · 4h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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