Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 84.0¢
- Implied chance
- 84.0%
- Return if right
- 19.0%
- Spread cost
- 19%
If you put in $100
You get 119.0 shares at 84.0¢ each.
YES wins: $119.05 back, a profit of $19.05. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.41 of that profit. Without it you would make $23.46.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 22.0¢
- Implied chance
- 22.0%
- Return if right
- 354.5%
- Spread cost
- 17%
If you put in $100
You get 454.5 shares at 22.0¢ each.
NO wins: $454.55 back, a profit of $354.55. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $71.77 of that profit. Without it you would make $426.32.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- by December 31, 202783.0%
- by September 30, 202771.5%
- by June 30, 202754.5%
- by December 31, 202628.0%
- by March 31, 202745.5%
- by September 30, 202611.1%
Latest: Aug 22, 03:12 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Smart Money Helping Support Bitcoin Rebound, Says Pantera CapitalBitcoin Magazine · 5h ago
- Coldcard Adds New Security Measures After $130 Million Bitcoin ExploitDecrypt · 6h ago
- Bitget CEO sees Bitcoin near current levels at year-end, doubts US will buy BTCCointelegraph · 7h ago
- Legendary Investor Ray Dalio Touts Bitcoin — With Gold — To Hedge Against Incoming Debt CrisisBitcoin Magazine · 7h ago
- Wall Street and Washington Fuel Bitcoin Rally: Here's What's Going OnDecrypt · 7h ago
- Ray Dalio says to buy ‘a bit’ of Bitcoin amid potential debt crisisCointelegraph · 7h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $100,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.