Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on August 23?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 77.0¢
- Implied chance
- 77.0%
- Return if right
- 29.9%
- Spread cost
- 66%
If you put in $100
You get 129.9 shares at 77.0¢ each.
YES wins: $129.87 back, a profit of $29.87. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $57.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $86.92.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 70.0¢
- Implied chance
- 70.0%
- Return if right
- 42.9%
- Spread cost
- 63%
If you put in $100
You get 142.9 shares at 70.0¢ each.
NO wins: $142.86 back, a profit of $42.86. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $72.20 of that profit. Without it you would make $115.05.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 23, 06:08 AM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Bitcoin and ether ETFs draw $2.6 billion in strongest inflow week since October, tripling volumeThe Block · 11h ago
- AI Has Made Bitcoin Software a Target—This Group Is Fighting BackDecrypt · 15h ago
- Why an announcement from the Treasury sparked a rally in gold and bitcoin this weekMarketWatch · 17h ago
- Bitcoin and Ether bears get decimated amid 'squeeze-led' rally and Musk's X wants to pay creators in stablecoins: Crypto's week in 5 storiesCoinDesk · 18h ago
- Zcash jumps 48% to over $800 as Grayscale spot ETF push adds to ‘next bitcoin’ buzzCoinDesk · 1d ago
- How a Treasury buyback tweak helped bitcoin surge 25% to nearly $80,000 in daysCoinDesk · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on August 23?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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