Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 13?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.8¢
- Implied chance
- 1.8%
- Return if right
- 5455.6%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 5555.6 shares at 1.8¢ each.
YES wins: $5555.56 back, a profit of $5455.56. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $158.73 of that profit. Without it you would make $5614.29.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.3¢
- Implied chance
- 98.3%
- Return if right
- 1.7%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 101.7 shares at 98.3¢ each.
NO wins: $101.73 back, a profit of $1.73. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.78.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 13, 07:47 AM5 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Metaplanet denies selling bitcoin worth $320 millionCoinDesk · 2h ago
- Bitcoin firms ask AI labs for same tools attackers already haveCoinDesk · 2h ago
- Metaplanet CEO shuts down Bitcoin sale speculation after $322M transferCointelegraph · 4h ago
- Bitcoin slips near $63,500 as traders look past CPI to Fed’s next testsCoinDesk · 4h ago
- Bitcoin Price May Be Battered, but Structural Adoption Story Still Intact: GrayscaleBitcoin Magazine · 10h ago
- Goldman Sachs to Acquire NEOS Investments in $2.25B Deal, Adding Bitcoin Income ETFs to LineupBitcoin Magazine · 10h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 13?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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