Will Billie Eilish be the second most streamed artist for 2026?

Q: Will Billie Eilish be the second most streamed artist for 2026?

Prediction markets currently price this at 1%. A YES share costs 1.1¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 8990.9% over 4.7mo.

#2 Spotify Artist 2026$2k liquidity$236 volumecloses 4.7mo

MusicCulturespotify

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 1.1¢
Implied chance: 1.1%
Return if right: 8990.9%
Spread cost: 46%

If you put in $100

You get 9090.9 shares at 1.1¢ each.

YES wins: $9090.91 back, a profit of $8990.91. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $7575.76 of that profit. Without it you would make $16566.67.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 99.9¢
Implied chance: 99.9%
Return if right: 0.1%
Spread cost: 83%

If you put in $100

You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.

NO wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.50 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.60.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 08:18 PM5 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Billie Eilish be the second most streamed artist for 20…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

Spotify releases an annual report of its most-streamed artists (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2024-12-04/top-songs-artists-podcasts-audiobooks-albums-trends-2024/). This market will resolve according to the second most-streamed Spotify artist for 2026. If Spotify does not release its second most-streamed artist for 2026 by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". If Spotify lists more than one artist as the second most-streamed artist, this market will resolve in favor of the artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. Spotify is a registered mark of Spotify AB. Polymarket is not affiliated with Spotify AB and neither Spotify AB, nor its affiliates, sponsor or endorse Polymarket.